Accountable Update

Obama's Budget - Indecent Proposals or Glimpse of the Future?

Photo by frankieleon

Photo by frankieleon

This week, President Obama presented a $4 Trillion budget proposal to Congress for the 2017 fiscal year. Considering this is the final year of the Obama administration, it being an election year, and both houses currently being controlled by Republicans, it is unlikely that many (or any) of the tax reforms contained in this budget will be implemented in the upcoming year.

Nearly three-quarters of the budget is committed to expenses such as servicing the national debt, Social Security, Medicare, and Medicaid. The reality is that these “mandatory” expenditures will continue to increase due to demographics over the next few decades, leaving our leaders little wiggle room between the unpleasant choices of raising revenue (taxes) or cutting spending.

The “easy” tax hikes are the proposed closing of some of the “loopholes”. Unfortunately, many of our clients look at these “loopholes” as common sense incentives for saving and investing and use them to be Accountable to themselves and their families for financial security. This is why we pay attention to proposals, even those that are unlikely to be enacted today, as they may signal changes on the horizon that could result in stealth tax increases and fewer incentives to invest.

If nothing else, some of these proposals remind us that we shouldn’t take anything for granted when it comes to politicians writing checks that we ultimately will be asked to cash by paying our “fair share”.

Following is a quick summary of some of the provisions that are being proposed and lessons we should take from them:

CLOSING THE “BACK DOOR” ROTH IRA CONTRIBUTIONS

The “Back Door” Roth IRA contribution strategy has been around since 2010, when income limits on Roth conversions were removed. Before that, high-income earners couldn’t make a Roth IRA contribution, nor convert a traditional IRA into a Roth. Under the current rules, it is possible for high earners that exceed eligibility thresholds for contributing to a Roth IRA to contribute to a non-deductible traditional IRA and complete a Roth conversion of those dollars – effectively achieving the goal of a Roth IRA contribution through the “back door”.

The proposal would limit a Roth conversion to only the pre-tax portion of an IRA. Thus, a non-deductible contribution to a traditional IRA would no longer be eligible for a Roth conversion. The “back door” will effectively be closed.

The lesson – If you are above the income thresholds for a deductible Traditional IRA and/or Roth IRA, you should look into the “back door” technique while you can.

LIMITING CONTRIBUTIONS FOR RETIREMENT ACCOUNTS OVER $3.4 MILLION

The budget proposes a rule that would limit any new contributions to retirement accounts (IRAs, 401ks, 403bs, etc) once the balance across all of your retirement accounts exceeds $3.4 million. This is the amount the government estimates that a 62 year old needs today to purchase a joint-and-survivor annuity producing $210,000 a year of income. The proposal allows for inflation indexing and adjustments for annuity costs over time, so these dollar amounts would change over time.

The lessonIn addition to having some insight into what is considered “enough” by some in the government, it should encourage you to maximize those retirement contributions now.

ELIMINATION OF TAX LOT ACCOUNTING FOR SECURITIES AND A REQUIREMENT TO USE AVERAGE COST BASIS

Under current tax law, investors that hold multiple shares of a stock or mutual fund can choose which lots are sold. In other words, if you bought a share for $10 on day 1, followed by another share purchase for $20 on day 2, you would have two “lots” of shares. If you decide to sell one of those shares when the price is $15, you could elect to declare that you are selling purchase from day 2 which cost $20. The net result being a $5 loss on the sale.

The President’s budget proposes the elimination of the specific lot identification method for “portfolio stock”, along with other techniques currently available such as FIFO and LIFO cost basis. Instead, the proposal would require you to use average cost basis. In the example above, the average cost of the share is $15 so the sale at $15 would result in no gain nor loss.

The impact of this change is limiting the ability to tax-loss harvest, or “cherry pick” the most favorable shares from year to year.

The lessonHarvesting tax losses can reduce tax burdens in current years when it may be most favorable to you. In your taxable accounts, it is a strategy that should be considered while it is a viable option.

Other proposals:

  • Required Minimum Distributions (RMD) for Roth IRAs
  • Changes to IRA distributions for non-spouse beneficiaries
  • Repeal of the Net Unrealized Appreciation (NUA) rules for stock in an employer retirement plan
  • Changes to Estate Planning rules:

o   Elimination of Grantor Retained Annuity Trusts (GRATs), installment sales to Intentionally Defective Grantor Trusts (IDGT), and Dynasty Trusts
o   Limiting the total of Present Interest Gifts through Crummy Powers
o   Replacing Step-Up Basis with a Required-Sale-At-Death rule
o   Limitations on Transfer-For-Value Rules, particularly for Life Settlements transactions

  • Limiting 1031 Like-Kind Exchanges on real estate transactions
  • Subjecting S Corporations to the 3.8% Medicare Surtax

You can read all of 2017 revenue proposals in the Treasury Greenbook.

The lessonEven the best financial plans (investment, retirement, estate, etc) are subject to change, often for reasons out of our control such as new rules or laws. This is why we encourage you to review your plans regularly to ensure they are current and effective. If you need to review your plan, let’s get acquainted.

"Issue Briefs" on Volatility, Oil, and China

So far, the stock market has created more questions than answers in 2016. In this week's Accountable Update  I share three "Issue Briefs" from my friends at Dimensional Fund Advisors that address some of the concerns on investors' minds.

In the first Brief, titled Recent Market Volatility, DFA explores how or if returns in January provide indications about the rest of the year. They also compare the recent downturn to other periods of volatility for historical context.

In the second Brief, Crude Oil and Financial Markets, questions about the historical relationship between crude oil prices and stocks are discussed. They also provide some analysis of the cause and impact of the downturn in oil.

The last Brief, An Update on China, reviews the Chinese equity market and DFA's approach to investing there. They discuss recent events and some of the differences between shares traded on local Chinese exchanges versus shares traded in Hong Kong and other overseas markets.

I hope you find these Issue Briefs helpful in answering questions that may be on your mind. As always, if recent events are keeping you up at night or have you questioning your path, get in touch to review your situation.

5 Ideas for a More Prosperous “Retirement Season”

Happy Retirement Season! My longtime former employer, Fidelity Investments, so dubbed this time of year in a marketing campaign several years ago.

The season ran from January through April 15, the traditional deadline for contributions to many retirement accounts that coincides with when tax returns are due. This was traditionally the busiest time of year when we would frequently take in up to half of the inflows we expected for the whole year.

I always thought the campaign was pretty clever even though it never really seemed to catch on outside of those green walls. Last year, the National Institute on Retirement Security reported that the median retirement account balance for working age Americans is only $2500. Gallup conducted a November survey of Americans' 2015 holiday spending intentions and found U.S. adults planning to spend $830 during the last Christmas season alone. Considering Christmas has been around a couple thousand years, maybe the concept of  Retirement Season may just need a little more time to get off the ground.

In a tip of the cap to my former colleagues at Fido, I would like to wish everyone a happy Retirement Season. To get you in the mood, here are some ideas:

1.       Open an IRA. Everyone that has earned income can contribute to an IRA. You can contribute up to $5500 for 2015 (plus another $1000 if you are 50+ years old), or up to your taxable income amount if your compensation was less than the limit. Rules vary between Traditional and Roth IRAs, with the tax treatment of contributions and growth differing based on what you may qualify for or choose. If your income is under certain amounts, there are even tax credits that will essentially pay for up to 50% of your contribution.

2.       Participate in or create a workplace plan. There are many options that are determined by whether you work in the public, private, or non-profit sectors and/or if your employer has opted to offer a plan. Choices may include the US Thrift Savings Plan, 401(k), 403(b), SIMPLE IRA, and 457 plans. There are even more options if you are self employed. Some of these plans allow much higher contribution levels than IRAs and often have employer matching contributions that are essentially FREE MONEY if you stick around long enough to meet the vesting schedule. In some cases, over $50,000 per year can be put away in these tax advantaged accounts!

3.       Consolidate your old plans. If you have had several jobs, you may have just as many retirement plan balances sitting out there. In some cases your current plan may accept rollovers of those old plan balances. In other circumstances, it may be more practical to combine the old plans into a Rollover IRA. The point is to keep up with what you have saved, and consolidation makes that easier.

4.       Open a Health Savings Account (HSA). These accounts must be paired with a High-Deductible Health Plan (HDHP) and you can’t be eligible for Medicare, other health coverage, or claimed as a dependent by someone else. If you qualify, family contributions can be as high as $6750 for 2016 (plus $1000 for age 55+). These contributions are not only pre-tax but they grow tax free. If you don’t spend the HSA balance during the year, it continues to grow tax free and could ultimately be used to cover the estimated $266,589 of Medicare premiums and other retiree health care expenses that HealthView Services estimates for a healthy 65 year old couple.

5.       Write down your retirement plan. At age 25, your plan may be just a simple estimate of how much your money can grow over the years. At a hypothetical 10% return, your money doubles every 7.2 years. (For other rates of return, divide your hypothetical rate into 72 to determine how quickly it may grow.) If you are closer to retirement, your plan should model the likelihood of what you have saved lasting throughout retirement based on how you plan to spend it. To paraphrase Ben Franklin, no plan is a plan...to fail. 

Most of these retirement accounts have potential penalties for early withdrawals, typically defined as before age 59 1/2. Because the rules can vary and even become quite complicated, you should consult with an expert such as a CPA, tax attorney, or CFP® before considering any withdrawals.

If you aren’t sure where to start, get in touch to discuss your situation. Wishing you the wealth and prosperity this season brings!