Accountable Update

Flingin' It - Brexit Edition

Photo by tudor-rose 

Photo by tudor-rose 

Happy Independence Day! Yes, I'm referring to July 4th, the day we 'Mericans celebrate our independence from Britain. But another "Independence Day", at least termed by some, has made for a very exciting week in the markets. Or was it Brexiting?

After seeing the S&P 500® drop over 5% due to the June 23rd vote in the United Kingdom to leave the European Union, I had assumed that today I would be sending one of my Accountable email messages to all of ATX Portfolio Advisors' customers explaining that after four consecutive months of gains, we would be sharing the pain of the Brexit induced June swoon.

Our customers would be looking at their statements, wondering where the year's gains just went and I would be reminding myself that billing only in months where client portfolios increase in value squarely aligns the interests of the customer and advisor. I had teed up a Dimensional Funds article, UK’s EU Referendum Result, which was to reassure readers that this too shall pass.

In an effort to bring some cheer to what appeared to be a London Fog induced dreariness, I was going to share an article by Jim Parker titled, 10 Reasons to be Cheerful. Finally, I also was going to share another Parker column for those of you that prefer to self medicate depression called The Wine Lovers Guide to Investing.

But then the markets did what they so often do, they reacted differently than virtually everyone expected. The S&P 500® rallied to end the month almost where it started, and other markets actually finished higher than before the referendum. If you are an ATX client, you probably will notice that we are billing for the fifth consecutive month (great news for our customers and ATX!).

So, enjoy the material anyway while we celebrate together. Oh, and have a safe and happy Independence Day!

A Loose Plan for the Summer

After the mildest Spring in recent memory here in Central Texas, Summer has arrived in oppressive yet familiar fashion over the past couple of weeks. I can attest to that first hand as I’ve spent most afternoons and weekends for the past month on the softball field coaching my daughter’s All Star Team. With the temps rising, thoughts of cool vacations also increase.

Due to the uncertainty of not knowing exactly when softball season will end, coupled with my son’s first summer job as a lifeguard for the City of Austin, we have not scheduled any travel or vacations as of yet. That’s not to say that we aren’t going anywhere, it’s just going to be a little more impulsive than our normal meticulously planned sojourns.

This may not seem to be much of a topic for an investing blog, except to illustrate that a “plan” doesn’t have to be inflexible or so detailed that the journey is no fun. In our case, we have written down a few ideas of things we may like to do, but none are on the calendar or part of a larger agenda. If we can grab a day or two or six along the way, we plan to take advantage of any deals or incentives that come along to scratch some of these off of our Texas Bucket List.

Stating an objective is perhaps the most important part of any plan, whether it’s summer travel or some financial outcome.  Just as we seldom get in the car just to drive (at least in the Austin gridlock also known as the failed strategy of “Don’t build it and they won’t come”), having an objective can have many benefits. By being flexible and having several goals, you may even save a few bucks waiting for last minute deals as they come available.

This approach can also help you handle unexpected windfalls. If you get an unexpected raise at work, a big tax refund, or a nice birthday check from Grandma, it can be tempting to blow it on booze and cigarettes, but just giving some forethought to what you’d like to accomplish in life can make it easier to take full advantage when the unexpected arises.

There is also the benefit of reducing the chance of missing an opportunity that you will regret later in life, such as the time I passed on driving to Houston with some college buddies to see The Highwaymen at the Houston Livestock Show and Rodeo. No tickets, no money, and only about a half tank of gas persuaded me to stay home, but those that went wound up getting in for free and seeing Willie, Waylon, and the boys (Johnny Cash and Kris Kristofferson).

So here is my list of travel objectives for the summer, maybe it will inspire you to make one too. Travel, personal, financial, whatever…

Blue Hole, Wimberley, TX. – Blue Hole is a natural swimming hole located on Cypress Creek that is surrounded by large cypress trees. The water is clear and cold and there are chain swings to keep the more adventurous ones busy. Word is you have to get there early to beat the crowds on weekends, so this will probably be a midweek day trip.

Photo by robert thigpen

Marfa’s Mystery Lights, Marfa, TX – The lights appear in the southwestern night sky between Marfa and Paisano Pass when the weather is clear. The first reports of the lights reportedly were in 1883 and they have been drawing crowds ever since. If lights aren't your thing, there is also quite an art scene and a disproportional number of good restaurants for a town this size.  

Photo by steve baxter

Photo by steve baxter

Colorado Bend State Park, Bend, TX – Colorado Bend State Park is on the Colorado River above Lake Buchanan and west of Lampasas. It boasts over 5000 acres of hiking, camping, mountain biking, as well as fishing, swimming, and kayaking. Caves and waterfalls are the highlights with Gorman Falls being the star of show.

Palo Duro Canyon State Park, Canyon, TX – The “Grand Canyon of Texas” is the second largest canyon in the US. Highlights include hiking, biking, and horse trails as well as camping and the outdoor musical drama, TEXAS.

Photo by Steve Rainwater

Rockport, TXRockport Beach is known as the only “Blue Wave Beach” in Texas. Beach activities, golf, and bird watching are also huge draws to this charming coastal community. But it’s the world class fishing for trout and redfish that has me excited about heading to the bays.

Photo by Vincent Lock

Photo by Vincent Lock

Since all of the destinations on my list are within a few hours drive of Austin, we will probably forgo the interstates and take the scenic routes, stopping along the way at whatever looks interesting.

Now that’s a plan.

Business Owners: Time to Cash Out? There's a Plan for That

When I founded ATX Portfolio Advisors, there was a fairly straightforward concept that I had in mind. ATX would be an independent, fee based investment advisor, that specializes in managing unplanned wealth. I am often asked what is the definition of “unplanned wealth”. The short answer is that you have accumulated some money, but now don’t really know what to do with it.

That’s not to say that I’m not very happy to help someone that has been diligently planning their savings and investments for specific goals since they graduated high school, it’s just that I believe I add the most value when someone really needs help creating a plan to manage their wealth, as well as the actual implementation of the plan.

For most financial firms, the ideal client is someone with a retirement account that is ready to change jobs or retire, and needs to convert savings to income. When you are dealing with a 401(k) or IRA, rolling over a balance and/or making changes to the investment allocation are fairly straightforward and efficient processes. Simplicity and straightforwardness equals scale and profit for the financial firm.

A much more challenging situation is presented by small business owners. Business owners, including doctors, lawyers, accountants, veterinarians, etc., frequently have large portions of their net worth tied up in their businesses. Yes, they may have set up a retirement account (usually a SEP IRA, SIMPLE IRA, or maybe a 401(k)) to help reduce taxes or provide a benefit to employees, but it is the exception when business owners have accumulated a large nest egg in their retirement accounts. Typically, their businesses are their nest eggs.

Take for example an attorney I recently worked with in his early 60’s that has a successful practice. His share of partnership revenues are around $1,250,000. He takes an income of over $250,000 per year, but only started contributing to a SIMPLE IRA about 10 years ago. He has accumulated a respectable $300,000 in the SIMPLE IRA, but estimates needing $150,000 a year to live on in retirement. He still enjoys working but is starting to consider his retirement options.

The 5% rule of thumb would dictate that he needs about $3,000,000 in investment assets to give himself a good probability of producing an inflation adjusted $150,000 over his lifetime. How can he get there? We reviewed a couple of possible avenues.

Option 1 – He can keep saving, the more the better. His $300,000 starting balance in his SIMPLE IRA, with max annual contributions of $12,500 + a catch up contribution for > age 50 of $3,000 + the max employer match of 3%, $7,500, would allow him to add $23,000 per year.

At that rate, assuming a hypothetical growth rate of 8%, he could accumulate $3,000,000 in a little over 22 years. Now there are many other variables (alternative income sources, extra savings, etc) that may allow him to retire earlier than that, but for the sake of illustration you can see that this may not be the ideal plan.

Option 2 – Sell his partnership interest to his partners. No problem, if your partner(s) have the funds to buy you out, right? But what if they don’t?

To get an idea of how his partner(s) could structure a buyout, PlainsCapital Bank Vice President, Rick Lindley, of Austin, TX was kind enough to share some thoughts.

“Many business owners aren’t familiar, or may be intimidated by the perceived hassle, of structuring a business sale to an employee through financing backed by the US Small Business Administration (SBA). The SBA will let the employee purchase the business with little or no money down as long as they meet some qualifying credit requirements and aren’t a convicted felon.
If a business has assets like buildings, land, or equipment, it is fairly straightforward to arrange financing. The assets will serve as collateral and loans can be structured with as little as 10% down. When there aren’t many assets, there is another program known as 7(a) that is more attractive.
Under 7(a), SBA makes loans for acquisition of a business by guaranteeing 75% of the bank’s loan to the buyer. The buyer needs to come up with the other 25%, but it can come from family or a separate loan from the seller.”

In this option, let’s say the lawyer could sell his partnership interests for approximately one year of revenues to his other partners. The buyers could use an SBA 7(a) loan to finance the purchase.

$937,500 of the purchase would be financed by the bank, the seller could finance a portion, say 10%, or $125,000, leaving the buyers to come up with the other $187,500 as a down payment. If he were to net $1,000,000 in the sale, he could reduce the amount of time it would take him to reach his accumulation goal by 10 years assuming he maintained the same savings rates presented in Option 1 if as a salaried employee. Another option would be to reduce his work schedule and augment his salary with earnings from the business sale.

There are other planning considerations that also come into play that could involve life insurance to create liquidity in the event of an owner's premature death to allow for buying out heirs or replacing a key employee. We'll cover some of those considerations in a future Accountable Update.

Of course, he could just continue on as a partner with the knowledge that if he decides to cash out at some point down the road, he knows how he may do it. That’s the value of planning, and why we believe that no wealth should go “unplanned”. If you would like to discuss your plans, get in touch for a complimentary consultation.


Savings rate targets are hypothetical illustrations, do not reflect actual investment results or actual lifetime income, and are not guarantees of future results. Targets do not take into consideration the specific situation of any particular investor, the composition of any particular account, or any particular investment or investment strategy. Individual investors may need to save more or less than the savings target displayed depending on their inputs for retirement age, life expectancy, market conditions, desired retirement lifestyle, and other factors.